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Business

Stock Market Today: Futures Rebound After a $5 Trillion AI Selloff

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47 minutes ago
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Stock Market Today as traders monitor market movements on the New York Stock Exchange
Wall Street starts November with investors assessing the AI sell-off and a busy earnings calendar.
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Stock Market Today is starting with a tentative rebound. US stock futures moved higher on Monday, November 2, after technology and artificial intelligence shares suffered a sharp sell-off at the end of October. The recovery comes as investors prepare for a packed calendar featuring major corporate earnings, the US midterm elections and fresh employment data.

Contents
Background and Context: Why Markets Entered November on EdgeLatest Update: Stock Market Today Sees Futures Move HigherOil’s Retreat Helps Ease Market PressureThe AI Sell-Off Remains the Bigger QuestionExpert Insights: A Market Rebound Is Not the Same as a RecoveryBroader Implications: AI Spending Is Becoming a Market-Wide TestRelated History: Can a Midterm-Year Pattern Support Stocks?What Happens Next: Five Events That Could Move the Market1. Apple’s Earnings Report2. Palantir’s Results3. US Midterm Elections4. October Jobs Report5. Oil and Middle East DevelopmentsConclusionFrequently Asked Questions1. Why are stocks rising today?2. What is driving the recent stock market sell-off?3. How much value have AI stocks lost?4. Why are oil prices important for the stock market?5. Which major companies are reporting earnings this week?6. What economic data could affect the market this week?7. Does a rise in stock futures mean the market has recovered?Sources & ReferencesOh hi there 👋It’s nice to meet you.Sign up to receive awesome content in your inbox, every week.

The Google Trends screenshot supplied for this article shows search interest for “today” rising sharply during the latest 24-hour period. Its related search terms include market futures, Dow futures, stock futures and Nasdaq futures. The news cards point to the main forces shaping the session: a potential recovery in technology stocks, retreating oil prices and uncertainty following the recent AI-driven market decline.

The headline figure is difficult to ignore. Yahoo Finance estimates that the biggest AI and chip stocks have lost around $5 trillion in market value since October 6. Yet the wider market picture is more complicated. The sell-off has been concentrated in some of the largest technology names, while many other major US stocks have held up better.

Background and Context: Why Markets Entered November on Edge

The final week of October was difficult for major US indexes, particularly technology shares. Investors have become more cautious about the enormous sums being committed to artificial intelligence infrastructure and whether those investments will produce returns quickly enough to justify current valuations.

Yahoo Finance reported that the largest AI and chip stocks had shed approximately $5 trillion in market value since October 6. Its analysis also highlighted an unusual split beneath the headline index performance: while the S&P 500 fell about 0.6% last week, nine of its 11 sectors gained around 1% or more. In Yahoo Finance’s historical comparison, no other weekly S&P 500 decline since at least 1999 had seen more than seven sectors rise by that amount. Yahoo Finance

That divergence matters. It suggests the recent weakness has not affected every corner of the market equally. Investors have been reassessing the valuations of companies most closely associated with AI spending, while other sectors have shown relative resilience.

The Nasdaq has been particularly exposed because of its concentration in large technology and semiconductor companies. Yahoo Finance reported that the Nasdaq Composite lost approximately 5.2% in October, while the S&P 500 and Dow also ended the final week lower. Yahoo Finance+1

Latest Update: Stock Market Today Sees Futures Move Higher

US stock futures rose on Monday as investors looked for signs that the late-October sell-off was losing momentum.

The early moves reported by different outlets varied slightly according to their publication time:

  • S&P 500 futures: CNBC’s live coverage reported a rise of approximately 0.3% in its early update. TPE Hub
  • Nasdaq-100 futures: CNBC reported a gain of around 0.4%, while later market coverage put the increase closer to 0.8%. TPE Hub+1
  • Dow futures: CNBC reported an advance of approximately 116 points, or 0.2%, in its early update. TPE Hub

These are futures movements, not the final closing performance of the indexes. Futures can change considerably before and during the regular trading session.

Oil’s Retreat Helps Ease Market Pressure

Energy prices were another major part of Monday’s market story. The Associated Press reported that US crude and Brent crude each fell approximately 4.2% as hopes for diplomatic progress involving Iran helped ease concerns about supply disruptions. The report said Iran’s foreign minister indicated that negotiators were discussing a proposal in Qatar to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while denying direct talks with Washington. AP News

The retreat in oil prices offered some relief to investors concerned about energy costs and inflation. But the geopolitical situation remained uncertain, and crude prices were still elevated compared with levels a year earlier.

Bloomberg’s market wrap also described falling oil prices as a factor supporting the recovery in US equity futures. Its report said Nasdaq-100 futures rose 0.7%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.4% in the market update. SWI swissinfo.ch

The AI Sell-Off Remains the Bigger Question

The recovery in futures does not mean the concerns behind October’s technology sell-off have disappeared.

Investors are still debating whether major technology companies are spending too aggressively on AI infrastructure. The Associated Press reported that doubts about the returns from heavy AI investment remained a concern following recent earnings from major technology companies. AP News

Reuters also reported that concerns about Big Tech’s AI spending, including the possibility that companies may borrow to fund their investments, contributed to the pressure on technology valuations. Its November 2 update said the Nasdaq-100 had lost more than $2.5 trillion in market value during October. Reuters

The market is therefore facing two competing signals: investors are willing to buy after a steep decline, but they still want stronger evidence that AI spending can generate meaningful financial returns.

Expert Insights: A Market Rebound Is Not the Same as a Recovery

The early rise in futures offers a reason for cautious optimism, but investors should distinguish between a short-term bounce and a lasting change in market direction.

The recent sell-off has exposed a valuation problem for some of the largest AI-related companies. Investors have spent months rewarding businesses expected to benefit from expanding demand for computing power, chips and data-center capacity. Now, they are asking whether the expected growth can justify the scale of investment.

Yahoo Finance’s sector breakdown is particularly revealing. The S&P 500’s modest weekly decline occurred even as most sectors advanced. That suggests the index’s weakness was heavily influenced by a relatively small group of large companies rather than a uniform retreat across the market. Yahoo Finance

For investors, this creates a more complicated environment than a simple risk-on or risk-off market. A technology stock may continue to fall even when the broader index rises. Conversely, companies outside the AI trade may perform well despite weakness in the Nasdaq.

The practical lesson is to look beyond headline index movements. Sector performance, earnings guidance, capital expenditure and cash flow can provide a clearer picture of where market confidence is improving or deteriorating.

Broader Implications: AI Spending Is Becoming a Market-Wide Test

The AI investment boom has become one of the most important forces shaping equity valuations. Technology companies are committing enormous sums to data centers, advanced chips, networking equipment and computing capacity. The expectation is that these investments will support future AI services and create new revenue streams.

But investors are increasingly focused on the other side of the equation: the cost.

A company can report strong revenue growth and still disappoint the market if its spending rises faster than expected or if the returns take longer to materialize. That is one reason the recent decline in AI-linked stocks has attracted attention well beyond the technology sector.

Three broader questions now matter:

  1. Will AI spending generate enough revenue? Investors want evidence that infrastructure investment is translating into profitable products and services.
  2. Can the wider market remain resilient? The relative strength of sectors outside large technology stocks could help limit the impact of a prolonged AI correction.
  3. Will energy prices complicate inflation expectations? A sustained rise in oil prices could add pressure to businesses and consumers, while a retreat may offer some relief.

For The Tech Marketer, this story also connects to the economics of the AI infrastructure boom. Suggested internal link: AI Infrastructure and the Business of Artificial Intelligence. Replace this with a relevant published article URL after checking the site’s existing content.

Related History: Can a Midterm-Year Pattern Support Stocks?

Yahoo Finance highlighted a historical market pattern that could attract investor attention. According to its analysis, the S&P 500 has risen every time from the end of a midterm-election October through the following June since 1950. Yahoo Finance

That historical record may encourage investors looking beyond the immediate technology sell-off. However, it should not be treated as a forecast or a guarantee. Market conditions, interest rates, corporate earnings and geopolitical events differ from one election cycle to another.

The comparison also highlights an important distinction between historical seasonality and current fundamentals. A favourable historical pattern cannot remove the risks created by expensive valuations, uncertain AI returns or an unexpected economic slowdown.

What Happens Next: Five Events That Could Move the Market

The coming days bring several potential catalysts for US stocks.

1. Apple’s Earnings Report

Apple is scheduled to report results after the market closes on Monday. Investors will be watching iPhone 18 demand and the company’s outlook. Yahoo Finance reported that Apple closed Friday with a market value of approximately $5.03 trillion, ahead of Nvidia at around $4.93 trillion. It also described Apple as the only Magnificent Seven stock outperforming the S&P 500 so far this year. Yahoo Finance

2. Palantir’s Results

Palantir is also due to report after Monday’s market close. Its results could provide another data point on enterprise demand for AI-related software and services. The market will be looking at revenue growth, guidance and signs that AI products are converting interest into customer spending.

3. US Midterm Elections

Voters head to the polls on Tuesday, November 3. The outcome could influence expectations around fiscal policy, regulation and the direction of government spending. Investors will be watching both the House and Senate contests.

4. October Jobs Report

The October employment report is due Friday. The data could influence expectations for the US economy and the Federal Reserve’s next policy decisions. Investors will be assessing whether the labour market is slowing, stabilising or showing signs of renewed strength.

5. Oil and Middle East Developments

Oil prices remain sensitive to developments involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. Any change in the outlook for supply disruptions could quickly affect energy markets, inflation expectations and broader investor sentiment. AP News+1

Conclusion

Stock Market Today is beginning November with a modest recovery in US futures after a difficult October for technology and AI shares. Falling oil prices have helped sentiment, while investors are looking ahead to major earnings reports, the US midterm elections and Friday’s employment data.

The reported $5 trillion decline in AI and chip stock market value shows how quickly expectations can change when investors question the returns on major technology investments. At the same time, the relative resilience of other market sectors suggests the sell-off has not been evenly distributed.

The immediate rebound is encouraging, but it is not proof that the correction is over. The next few trading sessions will test whether investors are ready to buy technology shares again or whether they want clearer evidence that the AI investment boom can deliver sustainable profits.

Frequently Asked Questions

1. Why are stocks rising today?

US stock futures moved higher on Monday, November 2, following a steep sell-off in technology shares. Lower oil prices and a rebound in AI-related stocks helped improve sentiment, although investors remained cautious. AP News+1

2. What is driving the recent stock market sell-off?

Concerns about the cost and expected returns of AI infrastructure investment have weighed on major technology and semiconductor stocks. Geopolitical uncertainty and changing expectations for energy prices have also influenced market sentiment.

3. How much value have AI stocks lost?

Yahoo Finance estimated that the biggest AI and chip stocks had lost approximately $5 trillion in market value since October 6, 2026. This is an estimate covering the group of companies in its analysis, not a loss attributed to one stock or the entire market. Yahoo Finance

4. Why are oil prices important for the stock market?

Oil prices affect transportation, manufacturing and consumer costs. A sustained increase can add to inflationary pressure, while a decline may ease some cost concerns. Monday’s retreat in crude prices helped support investor sentiment. AP News

5. Which major companies are reporting earnings this week?

Apple and Palantir are scheduled to report after Monday’s market close, according to Yahoo Finance. AMD is also among the companies investors are watching later in the week. Yahoo Finance+1

6. What economic data could affect the market this week?

The October US jobs report, scheduled for Friday, November 6, is a major event. Investors will use the employment figures to assess the health of the labour market and consider what they may mean for Federal Reserve policy.

7. Does a rise in stock futures mean the market has recovered?

No. Futures indicate where investors expect major indexes to open, but they can change before the regular session and do not guarantee a positive closing result. A sustained recovery would require continued buying and improving market fundamentals.

Sources & References

  1. Stock Futures Tick Higher Ahead of Busy Week of Earnings, Jobs Data and the Midterm Elections: Live Updates, CNBC.
  2. Jared Blikre, Stock Futures Jump Ahead of a Monster Week After a $5 Trillion AI Rout, Yahoo Finance, November 1, 2026.
  3. US Stocks Halt Selloff as Oil Prices Retreat: Markets Wrap, Bloomberg, November 2, 2026.
  4. US Futures Rebound From Huge Sell-Off Last Week as Oil Prices Retreat Sharply, Associated Press, November 2, 2026.
  5. Wall St Futures Rise as AI Stocks Catch Their Breath; Midterms in Focus, Reuters, November 2, 2026.

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